Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.013834 0.016065 0.018528 0.021446 0.024807 0.028556 0.033055
2026-01-18 0.010420 0.013281 0.016730 0.021184 0.026779 0.033569 0.042429
2026-01-25 0.008018 0.011079 0.015057 0.020591 0.028077 0.037837 0.051513
2026-02-01 0.006398 0.009491 0.013790 0.020172 0.029380 0.042156 0.061196
2026-02-08 0.005267 0.008326 0.012837 0.019934 0.030776 0.046666 0.071665
2026-02-15 0.004341 0.007273 0.011837 0.019403 0.031574 0.050316 0.081274
2026-02-22 0.003888 0.006863 0.011725 0.020173 0.034407 0.057311 0.096816
2026-03-01 0.003370 0.006249 0.011173 0.020115 0.035846 0.062219 0.109575
2026-03-08 0.002836 0.005512 0.010291 0.019343 0.035930 0.064838 0.118749
2026-03-15 0.002482 0.005039 0.009797 0.019164 0.036992 0.069197 0.131398
2026-03-22 0.002332 0.004931 0.009947 0.020183 0.040348 0.077984 0.153025
2026-03-29 0.002144 0.004712 0.009851 0.020704 0.042808 0.085374 0.172873
2026-04-05 0.001859 0.004256 0.009234 0.020126 0.043089 0.088762 0.185642
2026-04-12 0.001650 0.003927 0.008827 0.019925 0.044102 0.093700 0.202105
2026-04-19 0.001442 0.003566 0.008300 0.019388 0.044336 0.097081 0.215783
2026-04-26 0.001274 0.003269 0.007872 0.019003 0.044838 0.101060 0.231181
2026-05-03 0.001139 0.003031 0.007539 0.018784 0.045670 0.105823 0.248812
2026-05-10 0.001005 0.002770 0.007114 0.018285 0.045786 0.109007 0.263277
2026-05-17 0.000955 0.002720 0.007191 0.019014 0.048901 0.119321 0.295279
2026-05-24 0.000870 0.002559 0.006968 0.018960 0.050100 0.125320 0.317831
2026-05-31 0.000762 0.002319 0.006508 0.018232 0.049513 0.127000 0.330165
2026-06-07 0.000692 0.002173 0.006273 0.018063 0.050338 0.132205 0.351793
2026-06-14 0.000673 0.002176 0.006445 0.019025 0.054268 0.145593 0.395611